A Voice of Reason: Sane Views for a Crazy World

March 14, 2007

SHHHHH, Don’t Tell ANYONE, but the Surge may be Working

Now, you probably have to dig pretty deep to find this report, but today around 4:45 Robert Reid released this report about “The Surge” on the AP.   Don’t hold your breath for the MSM to let these details out.  Of course today the majority leader, Sen. Reid (D-NV) said that the current policy of “more of the same” goes on, talk about more of the same, listen to your parties’ talking points. 

However as Reid, the writer, not the droning toadie in the Senate,  points out, as did Bryan Williams before NBC execs put the muzzle on him, as well as the Governors of Arizona and Oklahoma, pssst, they’re both Democrats, the early indicators is that the change of rules of engagement, and in the way Iraqis and American soldiers interact, has lead to some positive outcomes.  Some examples:

Gone are the “illegal checkpoints,” where Shiite and Sunni gunmen stopped cars and hauled away members of the rival sect _ often to a gruesome torture and death.

The rattle of automatic weapons fire or the rumble of distant roadside bombs comes less frequently. Traffic is beginning to return to the city’s once vacant streets.

“People are very optimistic because they sense a development. The level of sectarian violence in streets and areas has decreased,” said a 50-year-old Shiite, who gave his name only as Abu Abbas. “The activities of the militias have also decreased. The car bombs and the suicide attacks are the only things left, while other kinds of violence have decreased.”

 

In the months before the security operation began Feb. 14, police were finding dozens of bodies each day in the capital _ victims of Sunni and Shiite death squads. Last December, more than 200 bodies were found each week _ with the figure spiking above 300 in some weeks, according to police reports compiled by The Associated Press.

Since the crackdown began, weekly totals have dropped to about 80 _ hardly an acceptable figure but clearly a sign that death squads are no longer as active as they were in the final months of last year.

(About a 60% drop)

 

Bombings too have decreased in the city, presumably due to U.S. and Iraqi success in finding weapons caches and to more government checkpoints in the streets that make it tougher to deliver the bombs.

In the 27 days leading up to the operation, 528 people were killed in bombings around the capital, according to AP figures. In the first 27 days of the operation, the bombing death toll stood at 370 _ a drop of about 30 percent.

 

While the surge is new, and this is not a clear indication of it ultimately being successful, you would think that the mainstream media and Congress would at least want to share a bit of this good news.  Well, then again, why should we expect anything other than “more of the same” from the DNC and their collaborators the MSM.

14 Comments »

  1. Hate to break it, but the drop in violence from the surge has been reported by every news outlet. The problem is that violence also dropped from every other surge we did only to return. Perhaps this time will be different…

    Comment by fpcom — March 14, 2007 @ 11:52 pm | Reply

  2. This is like when daddy stops beating mommy when the police are on the porch. “Bill Maher”

    Comment by americanbadass607 — March 15, 2007 @ 1:47 am | Reply

  3. First, anyone that quotes Bill Maher cannot be taken seriously.
    Second, it’s good to see the police are finally on the porch in Iraq.
    This is the way we should have been fighting all along, hopefully we will keep it up and secure Iraq. I am just afraid funding will be cut when we are on the verge of winning.

    Comment by mpinkeyes — March 15, 2007 @ 1:52 am | Reply

  4. fpcom, actually, every time we raise the troop levels, violence goes down. Every time we LOWER them, violence goes up. The cycle will continue until Iraq’s borders are closed to Iran and the like.

    Comment by thelonedrifter — March 15, 2007 @ 3:39 am | Reply

  5. Well my husband leaves today for Baghdad. I’m sure he’ll make a positive difference – he always does!

    HOOAH!!!

    Comment by Queenie Jeannie (PBB) — March 15, 2007 @ 12:13 pm | Reply

  6. Keep this secret among us- the vast right-wing conspiracy.

    Comment by totaltransformation — March 15, 2007 @ 12:51 pm | Reply

  7. Queenie, tell your husband THANK YOU. And we will say a prayer for both of you.

    Comment by Randy — March 15, 2007 @ 3:19 pm | Reply

  8. Great read..will add ya to my blogroll pronto!..:)

    Comment by Angel — March 15, 2007 @ 6:31 pm | Reply

  9. Queenie –
    The thoughts, well wishes and prayers of many grateful people in this nation go towards you and your husband.

    At least mine do.

    Comment by avoiceofreason — March 15, 2007 @ 11:10 pm | Reply

  10. It does seem at times that all we are doing is squeezing a balloon. A city gets cleaned out so the cockroaches go hide elsewhere. Yet at the same time there’s reason to believe or at least to hope that the air in that balloon is leaking. Insurgency and terrorist leaders are being captured and killed all the time, and the ongoing exodus of Sunni Arabs out of the country (there’s another story that goes underreported) suggests that they won’t be able to keep this up forever.

    Comment by hydralisk — March 17, 2007 @ 12:26 am | Reply

  11. Hydralisk

    The biggest factor about the surge are the changes in the rules of engagement and in the manner that Iraqi/US forces are acting.

    I am not saying that all in great, but so far there seems to be progress. So, I’m keeping my fingers crossed, which is better than hand ringing.

    Comment by avoiceofreason — March 17, 2007 @ 4:19 am | Reply

  12. The question is will it be enough to break the pattern. I think it’s possible.

    Oh, I totally agree with you about the hand wringing. The number of observers who want to write the whole affair off as if it were already over — and I read this in newspapers and magazines constantly, “Iraq was a horrible mistake” spoken like a statement of fact — are doing nothing to help the situation. People, it ain’t over. Things could still go either way.

    Comment by hydralisk — March 17, 2007 @ 3:53 pm | Reply

  13. The true test will be what are the outcomes not next week, not next year, but in 10 years. It will take at least that long for Iraq to start to effectively rebuild itself and to become accustomed to self-government. The problem is that the US has a microwave culture.

    In reality, the US needs to understand this is a long term commitment of at least ten to twenty years, and perhaps up to twenty five until this nation state is strong enough for independent self governance without support of a patron state.

    We bought it. Now we have to pay for it.

    Comment by avoiceofreason — March 17, 2007 @ 7:50 pm | Reply

  14. “The problem is that the US has a microwave culture.”

    Bingo. When we went into Iraq the President said this would not be a short engagement. People around here think long means six months, unless we are speaking of presidential campaigns. People seem to have failed to grasp that long means years, not seconds. This is the major downside in the age of the dual-core (becoming quad-core) processor.

    Comment by thelonedrifter — March 17, 2007 @ 8:02 pm | Reply


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