A Gallup poll covering 4/2 through 4/5 has Rudy Giulliani demonstrating a dominating lead over all the other contenders in the GOP field. Mr Giuliani received 38% of the polls nods, while the other four candidates (Sen. McCain, Gov Mit Romney, Sen. Fred Thompson, and Newt Gingrich) combied for 42% of the voters preference. Other minor candidates – Hunter, Tancredo, Brownbeck et al – were not registering at all, and Romney’s anemic 6% has to be taken as a sign, that this guy is just not catching on with voters.
Although Sen. McCain has a slight lead in the NH poll, and it is matched by Giuliani’s lead in the Iowa Caucas, the real possibility is that Super Tuesday, with NY and CA on the same night, could serve as a coronation if the former NYC mayor’s numbers hold to form.
Of course, ANYTHING is possible, but it seems that Mr. Giuliani may have weathered the storm caused by the Kerik incident, and seems to be regaining traction despite some concerns of his allegedly liberal positions concerning abortion (he supports the Hyde Amendment – hardly a bastion of liberalism), gun control (guns are and were allowed in NYC, and what major urban center does not try to regulate guns), and same sex marriage (his views are identical with the current Administration – which again is hardly ultraliberal). The liberal tag has been waved for months now, and it’s neither sticking, nor is it factual.
Of course, Senator McCain’s speech today, which was covered here, may have an impact on the race. Sen. McCain was in good form, and this may help as he clearly articulated his policy and preferences.